Dividend Aristocrats In Focus: Coca-Cola

Up to date on Might twenty second, 2024 by Bob Ciura

For superior long-term returns, buyers ought to deal with high-quality dividend progress shares. This involves thoughts when reviewing the Dividend Aristocrats, a choose group of 68 corporations within the S&P 500 Index with not less than 25 consecutive years of dividend will increase.

We now have created a free Excel listing of all 68 Dividend Aristocrats, together with related monetary metrics resembling P/E ratios and dividend payout ratios.

You possibly can obtain the complete listing by clicking on the hyperlink under:

Disclaimer: Certain Dividend just isn’t affiliated with S&P World in any method. S&P World owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The data on this article and downloadable spreadsheet is predicated on Certain Dividend’s personal assessment, abstract, and evaluation of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and different sources, and is supposed to assist particular person buyers higher perceive this ETF and the index upon which it’s based mostly. Not one of the info on this article or spreadsheet is official knowledge from S&P World. Seek the advice of S&P World for official info.

We assessment all 68 Dividend Aristocrats annually. The 2024 Dividend Aristocrats In Focus sequence continues with a assessment of beverage big The Coca-Cola Firm (KO).

Not solely is Coca-Cola a Dividend Aristocrat, it’s a Dividend King as effectively. The Dividend Kings have elevated their dividends for 50+ consecutive years. You possibly can see all of the Dividend Kings right here.

Associated: Canines of the Dow: The Highest Yielding Dow Jones 30 shares.

As well as, it has been diversifying away from glowing drinks in recent times and people efforts have paid off. This text will look at Coca-Cola’s funding prospects intimately.

Enterprise Overview

Coca-Cola is the world’s largest beverage firm, because it owns or licenses greater than 500 distinctive non-alcoholic manufacturers and 200 grasp manufacturers.

Because the firm’s founding in 1886, it has unfold to greater than 200 nations worldwide. It presently has a market capitalization of greater than $270 billion, making it a mega-cap inventory.

Its manufacturers account for about 2 billion servings of drinks worldwide every single day, producing greater than $42 billion in annual income.

The glowing beverage portfolio contains the flagship Coca-Cola model, in addition to different soda manufacturers like Weight loss program Coke, Sprite, Fanta, and extra.

The nonetheless beverage portfolio contains water, juices, espresso drinks, and ready-to-drink teas, resembling Dasani, Minute Maid, Vitamin Water, and Trustworthy Tea.

Supply: Investor Relations

Coca-Cola dominates glowing mushy drinks. The corporate is making an attempt to take care of and even enhance this dominant place with product extensions of current fashionable manufacturers, together with diminished and zero-sugar variations of manufacturers like Sprite and Fanta.

It is a difficult time for Coca-Cola. Gross sales of soda are slowing down in developed markets just like the U.S., the place soda consumption has steadily declined for years.

Declining soda consumption is a major menace for the corporate. Whereas Coca-Cola’s whole volumes actually nonetheless depend on glowing drinks resembling soda, the corporate has gone to nice lengths in recent times to diversify away from its core merchandise.

Coca-Cola reported first-quarter monetary outcomes on April thirtieth, and outcomes have been higher than anticipated on each the highest and backside strains. Income of $11.3 billion rose 2.7% year-over-year, and beat expectations by $330 million. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $0.72 beat by $0.02 per share.

The corporate expects natural income progress of 8%-9% for 2024.

Progress Prospects

In an effort to return to progress, Coca-Cola has invested closely exterior of soda, in areas like juices, espresso, teas, dairy, and water, to enchantment to altering shopper preferences.

As a result of success of its progress initiatives, we proceed to see Coca-Cola as having a good long-term progress outlook.

One cause we just like the inventory is as a result of it competes in an trade that continues to develop globally in extra of the speed of broad financial progress. This results in sturdy ranges of total progress within the trade, which Coca-Cola has actually been capitalizing on in recent times.

As well as, the ready-to-drink class is offered via highly-diversified channels and continues to have mid-single digit projected progress charges, each for Coca-Cola and the trade.

Supply: Investor Presentation

That is notably true for nonetheless drinks like tea, espresso, and water. Coca-Cola’s years-old technique to diversify away from glowing drinks is because of this and it’s undoubtedly bearing fruit.

Coca-Cola additionally continues to accumulate manufacturers so as to develop, together with its acquisition of Costa, a espresso model based mostly within the UK.

Coca-Cola is doing what it takes to safe its future. Within the comparatively brief time Coca-Cola has owned the espresso model, it has expanded its choices, together with combining Coca-Cola and low in ready-to-drink packages.

Taking all of this into consideration, along with the corporate’s buyback program and productiveness enchancment efforts, we see whole earnings-per-share progress of 5% yearly over the subsequent 5 years.

Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency

Coca-Cola enjoys two distinct aggressive benefits, that are its sturdy model and world scale.

As well as, Coca-Cola has an unparalleled distribution community. It has the most important beverage distribution system on the planet. A brand new entrant could be arduous pressed to recreate this distribution system, even with billions of {dollars} to speculate.

These benefits enable Coca-Cola to stay extremely worthwhile, even throughout recessions. The corporate held up very effectively in the course of the Nice Recession:

2007 earnings-per-share of $1.29
2008 earnings-per-share of $1.51 (17% improve)
2009 earnings-per-share of $1.47 (3% decline)
2010 earnings-per-share of $1.75 (19% improve)

Not solely did Coca-Cola survive the Nice Recession, it thrived. Coca-Cola grew earnings-per-share by 36% from 2007-2010. This exhibits the sturdiness and energy of Coca-Cola’s enterprise mannequin.

The corporate’s dividend additionally seems very protected, even after 60 years of consecutive will increase. We’d anticipate Coca-Cola to carry out effectively throughout any future recessions.

Valuation & Anticipated Returns

We anticipate Coca-Cola to generate adjusted EPS of $2.80 for 2023. Primarily based on this, Coca-Cola inventory trades for a price-to-earnings ratio of twenty-two.4. That is barely under our truthful worth estimate of 23 instances earnings, which implies the inventory is considerably under-valued.

An increasing P/E a number of might improve annual returns by 0.5% over the subsequent 5 years.

The inventory may also generate constructive returns via future earnings-per-share progress (estimated at 5%) plus the three.0% dividend yield. Placing all of this collectively, we anticipate whole annualized returns of 8.5% via 2028.

The general result’s that we anticipate Coca-Cola inventory to generate stable shareholder returns on the present share value, and we price it a maintain.

Closing Ideas

Coca-Cola has made nice strides repositioning its portfolio to fulfill altering shopper tastes. It has constructed a big portfolio of juices, coffees, and teas, to cater to a extra health-conscious shopper.

There may be extra work to be executed to diversify away from glowing drinks, and we see stable progress prospects trying forward.

We price the inventory a maintain, however the inventory stays a powerful selection for earnings buyers resulting from its above common dividend yield and lengthy historical past of annual dividend will increase.

These qualities make Coca-Cola a time-tested Dividend Aristocrat, and a blue-chip inventory.

Moreover, the next Certain Dividend databases comprise essentially the most dependable dividend growers in our funding universe:

When you’re searching for shares with distinctive dividend traits, contemplate the next Certain Dividend databases:

The most important home inventory market indices are one other stable useful resource for locating funding concepts. Certain Dividend compiles the next inventory market databases and updates them month-to-month: