Up to date on Might seventeenth, 2024 by Bob Ciura
Concerning dividend development shares, the Dividend Aristocrats are the “cream of the crop.” These are shares within the S&P 500 Index with 25+ consecutive years of dividend will increase.
We suggest that long-term traders on the lookout for the perfect shares first think about the Dividend Aristocrats.
We have now compiled a listing of all 68 Dividend Aristocrats, together with related monetary metrics like dividend yield and P/E ratios. You possibly can obtain the complete listing of Dividend Aristocrats by clicking on the hyperlink under:
Disclaimer: Positive Dividend isn’t affiliated with S&P International in any manner. S&P International owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The knowledge on this article and downloadable spreadsheet is predicated on Positive Dividend’s personal evaluation, abstract, and evaluation of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and different sources, and is supposed to assist particular person traders higher perceive this ETF and the index upon which it’s primarily based. Not one of the data on this article or spreadsheet is official information from S&P International. Seek the advice of S&P International for official data.
On the identical time, Actual Property Funding Trusts (REITs) appear to be pure matches for the Dividend Aristocrats. REITs are required to distribute not less than 90% of their earnings to shareholders, which results in regular dividend development for the asset class, offered earnings develop over time.
And but, there are solely three REITs on the listing of Dividend Aristocrats: Federal Realty Funding Belief (FRT), Essex Property Belief (ESS), and Realty Earnings (O).
Realty Earnings has a really spectacular dividend historical past, notably for a REIT. Realty Earnings is a Dividend Aristocrat. It’s also a month-to-month dividend inventory, which means it pays shareholders 12 dividends every year as an alternative of the extra typical quarterly cost schedule.
This text will talk about this Dividend Aristocrat in additional element.
Enterprise Overview
Realty Earnings was based in 1969. It’s a retail-focused REIT that has turn out to be well-known for its profitable dividend development historical past and month-to-month dividend funds, even labeling itself “The Month-to-month Dividend Firm.”
The belief employs a extremely scalable enterprise mannequin that has enabled it to develop into an enormous landlord of greater than 15,000 properties.
It owns retail properties that aren’t a part of a wider retail growth (corresponding to a mall) however as an alternative are standalone properties. This implies the properties are viable for a lot of tenants, together with authorities providers, healthcare providers, and leisure.
Supply: Investor Presentation
Realty Earnings owns a extremely diversified portfolio by trade, tenant, and geography. The overwhelming majority of its hire comes from e-commerce and recession-resistant tenants, making it bond substitute.
The corporate additionally has publicity to industrial, workplace, and agricultural tenants, although retail nonetheless makes up the majority of its rental earnings.
The REIT’s enterprise mannequin is sort of easy and has delivered spectacular long-term outcomes.
Realty Earnings acquires well-located industrial properties, stays disciplined in acquisition underwriting, executes long-term internet lease agreements, and actively manages the portfolio to maximise worth.
The outcomes of this mannequin communicate for themselves: 13.6% compound common annual complete return because the 1994 itemizing on the New York Inventory Trade, a decrease beta worth (a measure of inventory volatility) than the S&P 500 in the identical time interval, and optimistic earnings-per-share development in 27 out of the previous 28 years.
Development Prospects
Realty Earnings’s future development can be fueled by its confirmed and extremely scalable enterprise mannequin. Acquisitions have been a serious element of Realty Earnings’s development for a few years.
Annual hire will increase present for built-in income development over time. The corporate has a protracted historical past of producing strong development, each organically and thru acquisitions.
Supply: Investor Presentation
On February twentieth, 2024, Realty Earnings Corp reported its monetary outcomes for the fourth quarter of 2023. Within the fourth quarter, normalized FFO per share was $1.00, down from $1.04 in Q3 and $1.05 in This fall 2022.
Income totaled $1.08 billion, surpassing the consensus of $983.7 million, and rose from $1.04 billion within the earlier quarter and $888.7 million a 12 months earlier.
Portfolio occupancy stood at 98.6% as of December 31, 2023.
For 2024, Realty Earnings initiatives a normalized FFO per share starting from $4.17 to $4.29, with a midpoint of $4.23, in comparison with the consensus estimate of $4.25 and the $4.00 reported for 2023.
Identical-store hire development steering for the 12 months is round 1.0% year-over-year, in distinction to the 1.9% development seen in 2023, whereas acquisition quantity steering stands at roughly $2.0 billion.
Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency
A method REITs set up a aggressive benefit is thru investing within the highest-quality portfolios. Realty Earnings has performed this by constructing a broadly diversified portfolio of well-located actual property with many high-quality tenants.
Realty Earnings additionally advantages from a positive financial backdrop, with excessive occupancy charges and the power to lift rents over time.
One other – and maybe probably the most distinguished – aggressive benefit for Realty Earnings is its extraordinarily sturdy stability sheet. With a credit standing of A- from Customary & Poor’s – which is solidly investment-grade and a excessive score for a REIT – it is ready to unlock worth in vital acquisitions merely by refinancing the present debt on the properties it acquires at significantly decrease rates of interest.
Consequently, it is ready to profitably spend money on high-quality property that a lot of its rivals couldn’t. This provides it the power to construct a extra strong portfolio whereas additionally having extra development levers obtainable to it, producing superior risk-adjusted returns for shareholders.
Historical past exhibits that these aggressive strengths enable Realty Earnings to outperform properly in the course of the worst of financial recessions. For instance, its FFO per share in the course of the Nice Recession (from 2007-2009) grew at an annualized fee of two.1%, and its occupancy remained extremely resilient all through your entire interval.
This was a outstanding achievement and speaks to the power of the enterprise mannequin. We count on Realty Earnings to carry up equally properly in the course of the subsequent downturn, and in reality, it should doubtless current the belief with a possibility to refuel its development pipeline as it should doubtless use its sturdy stability sheet to grab up discounted properties.
Valuation & Anticipated Returns
Primarily based on our anticipated 2024 adjusted FFO-per-share of $4.17, Realty Earnings’s inventory trades for a price-to-FFO ratio of 13.2. Traders can consider this as much like a price-to-earnings ratio.
Our honest worth estimate is a P/FFO ratio of 14, making the inventory undervalued proper now.
An rising P/FFO ratio might improve annual returns by 1.2% per 12 months over the subsequent 5 years. Additionally, future returns can be comprised of a mixture of FFO development (estimated at 2.2% yearly) and dividends (present yield is 5.6%), resulting in anticipated annual returns of 9.0% per 12 months.
The present dividend yield is properly above the S&P 500 common, and the corporate has performed a wonderful job rising the dividend payout over time.
Closing Ideas
Traders flock to REITs for dividends, and with excessive yields throughout the asset class, it’s simple to see why they’re so well-liked for earnings traders.
We have now compiled a listing of 150+ REITs, which are worthy of additional consideration primarily based on their dividend yields and dividend development potential. You possibly can see our complete REIT listing right here.
Realty Earnings inventory is anticipated to return 9% per 12 months on the present value, making the inventory a maintain.
If you’re serious about discovering extra high-quality dividend development shares appropriate for long-term funding, the next Positive Dividend databases can be helpful:
The most important home inventory market indices are one other strong useful resource for locating funding concepts. Positive Dividend compiles the next inventory market databases and updates them month-to-month:
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