As you put together for the final week of February 2023 and begin of March, see what our analysts should say concerning the futures markets with visible illustration of the market developments by way of Bollinger bands. Additionally they cowl what to concentrate on for upcoming financial and firm stories.
E-Mini Dow Jones Futures Day by day Chart
March E-Mini Dow Jones futures broke down under 33000 final week, which acted as help in late December. The 50-day shifting common failed to carry as help as YM traded right down to 32600, which was a help space in early December. The Bollinger Bands are widening with final week’s downtrend, with value motion following the decrease band, indicating a bearish development. The MACD indicator is in a bearish state, and the RSI is trending in the direction of an oversold state of affairs. Ought to the Dow proceed to dump, help may very well be discovered at 32050 (the 50% retracement From Could 2022 highs to October 2022 lows). Upside resistance is perhaps discovered at 33750 (76% Fib retracement degree, and convergence of the 20-day and 50-day shifting averages).
Crude Oil Futures Day by day Chart
April crude oil futures proceed to be vary certain between 70.50 and 83.83, with the decrease Bollinger band appearing as help when value approaches it. Final week, the 50-day shifting common failed as help, and the MACD turned bearish. The rally on the finish of final week pushed the RSI to 45, giving some hope to a bullish development. If this rally continues, count on headwinds at 77.15 (20-day shifting common) and 77.80 (50-day shifting common). Help on the draw back may very well be discovered at 73.6, the decrease Bollinger band.
Euro FX Futures Day by day Chart
March Euro FX futures continues its slide, discovering help on the 38% Fibonacci retracement degree of the earlier uptrend (from September 2022 lows to the highs earlier in February). Value continues to experience the decrease Bollinger band, a bearish indication. The MACD histogram has been damaging since late January and doesn’t present any signal that the development is slowing. RSI is approaching the oversold degree of 30, although the market can proceed to dump as soon as that degree is breached. Ought to this downtrend proceed, search for attainable help at 1.036 (50% retracement degree). A rally might take this market to 1.073 (23% Fib degree, 20-day and 50-day shifting averages).
Gold Futures Day by day Chart
April gold futures discovered help at 1812, which is the 50% retracement degree of the earlier uptrend (from the November 2022 low to the February excessive). Value is buying and selling in the direction of the decrease Bollinger band, and whereas normally this coincides with widening bands, these bands appear to be a continuing distance aside. The MACD could be very bearish, as all elements of that examine are damaging, and never indicating a development reversal. RSI crossed under the oversold degree of 30 – a break again above 30 might imply indicators of a development change (we’re not there but). The 61% Fib retracement degree at 1773 might maintain as help if the development continues. Failing that 1725 coincides with the 76% Fib retracement degree in addition to earlier help in July and August of final 12 months. The 38% Fib degree may very well be resistance within the occasion of a rally.
Financial Studies for the week of February twenty seventh – March third
The Manufacturing and Companies elements of the financial system dominate stories this week, with PMI Manufacturing Ultimate on Wednesday and PMI Composite Ultimate on Friday (each at 9:45 am ET). Additionally on Wednesday, ISM Manufacturing Index and Development Spending stories are launched at 10 am ET. Regional stories come on Monday (Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey) and Tuesday (Chicago PMI and Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index). These stories give perception into the well being of the U.S. financial system, which might affect Fed selections – and volatility in inventory index and bond futures. Jobless Claims on Thursday is a vital piece of the labor market puzzle – with the Fed searching for a cool labor market to rein in inflation, a better-than-expected quantity might shake the markets. Studies reflecting the housing market happen on Tuesday with the Value indices from Case-Shiller and the FHFA, and on Wednesday (the weekly MBA Mortgage Functions report).
*** Market Transferring Indicators* Benefit Further Consideration
Date
Financial Studies
Monday, February twenty seventh
8:30 AM ET: Sturdy Items Orders10:00 AM ET: Pending House Gross sales Index10:30 AM ET: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey*11:00 AM ET: Export Inspections
Tuesday, February twenty eighth
8:30 AM ET: Worldwide Commerce in Items [Advance]9:00 AM ET: Case-Shiller House Value Index9:00 AM ET: FHFA Home Value Index9:45 AM ET: Chicago PMI*10:00 AM ET: Shopper Confidence10:00 AM ET: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index*1:00 PM ET: Cash Supply3:00 PM ET: Farm Costs
Wednesday, March 1st
7:00 AM ET: MBA Mortgage Applications7:00 AM ET: Financial institution Reserve Settlement9:45 AM ET: PMI Manufacturing Ultimate***10:00 AM ET: ISM Manufacturing Index*10:00 AM ET: Development Spending*10:30 AM ET: EIA Petroleum Standing Report*3:00 PM ET: Fat & Oils3:00 PM ET: Grain Crushings
Thursday, March 2nd
7:00 AM ET: Motor Car Sales8:30 AM ET: Export Sales8:30 AM ET: Jobless Claims***8:30 AM ET: Productiveness and Costs10:30 AM ET: EIA Pure Fuel Report*4:30 PM ET: Fed Stability Sheet
Friday, March third
9:45 AM ET: PMI Composite Ultimate***10:00 AM ET: ISM Companies Index12:00 PM ET: Atlanta Federal Reserve Financial institution President Raphael Bostic Speech1:00 PM ET: Baker Hughes Rig Count4:15 PM ET: Richmond Federal Reserve Financial institution President Thomas Barkin Speech
Firms Reporting Earnings for the week of February twenty seventh – March third
Retail and Canadian Banks share the highlight this week. Goal stories Tuesday morning – pay shut consideration to the steerage supplied with the earnings, as it might present a glance into the well being of the retail financial system for 2023. Evaluate and distinction Wednesday morning’s Greenback Tree and Kohl’s stories (low finish retail) with Thursday’s stories from Macy’s and Nordstrom (higher-end retail) to get extra financial perception. Canadian Banks embody Financial institution of Montreal, Financial institution of Nova Scotia, RBC and TD Financial institution – which might inform us concerning the Canadian financial system, essential particularly to CAD FX merchants. Pc {hardware} companies HP and Dell additionally report this week.
BMO = Earlier than Market OpenAMC = After Market Shut
* signifies that this firm is within the S&P 500 Index
Date
Earnings Studies
Monday, February twenty seventh
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. (BRK.B): $3.31 EPS Estimate, $–.–B Income Estimate (BMO)*Occidental Petroleum (OXY): $1.83 EPS Estimate, $8.66B Income Estimate (AMC)*
Tuesday, February twenty eighth
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO): $21.33 EPS Estimate, $3.56B Income Estimate (BMO)*Financial institution of Montreal (BMO): $2.29 EPS Estimate, $5.40B Income Estimate (BMO)Financial institution of Nova Scotia (BNS): $1.52 EPS Estimate, $6.20B Income Estimate (BMO)Goal Corp. (TGT): $1.38 EPS Estimate, $30.71B Income Estimate (BMO)*Agilent Applied sciences (A): 1.30 EPS Estimate, $1.70B Income Estimate (AMC)*HP Inc. (HPQ): $0.74 EPS Estimate, $14.15B Income Estimate (AMC)*
Wednesday, March 1st
Greenback Tree Shops, Inc. (DLTR): $2.03 EPS Estimate, $7.59B Income Estimate (BMO)*Kohl’s Company (KSS): $1.02 EPS Estimate, $6.00B Income Estimate (BMO)*Lowe’s Firms, Inc. (LOW): $2.24 EPS Estimate, $22.75B Income Estimate (BMO)*Royal Financial institution of Canada (RY): $2.19 EPS Estimate, $9.95B Income Estimate (BMO)Salesforce (CRM): $0.73 EPS Estimate, $8.00B Income Estimate (AMC)*
Thursday, March 2nd
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD): $0.72 EPS Estimate, $15.37B Income Estimate (BMO)Greatest Purchase Co., Inc. (CBRE): $2.09 EPS Estimate, $14.70B Income Estimate (BMO)*Macy’s, Inc. (M): $1.57 EPS Estimate, $8.25B Income Estimate (BMO)*TD Financial institution (TD): $1.66 EPS Estimate, $9.20B Income Estimate (BMO)Costco Wholesale Company (COST): $3.21 EPS Estimate, $55.47B Income Estimate (AMC)*Dell Applied sciences (DELL): $1.39 EPS Estimate, $23.67B Income Estimate (AMC)*Nordstrom, Inc. (JWN): $0.65 EPS Estimate, $4.35B Income Estimate (AMC)*
Remember to test again weekly and comply with us on our social media accounts to obtain alerts of our Futures Outlooks week to week.
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