Dividend Kings In Focus: SJW Group

Up to date on October thirteenth, 2023 by Nikolaos Sismanis

Firms which have not less than 50 years of dividend development are thought-about Dividend Kings.

Dividend development buyers received’t be shocked to search out giant cap names like Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and 3M (MMM) among the many Dividend Kings. These giant cap names are among the most generally owned and adopted shares amongst earnings buyers.

You may see the total record of all 51 Dividend Kings right here.

It’s also possible to obtain an Excel spreadsheet with the total record of Dividend Kings (plus necessary metrics resembling price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields) by clicking on the hyperlink under:

You may be shocked to search out that there are some small cap names which have additionally raised their dividend for not less than the previous 50+ years. One such firm is SJW Group (SJW), a ‘water inventory‘ utility firm.

This text will study SJW’s enterprise, development prospects, and valuation in an effort to decide if shares are value buying now.

Enterprise Overview

SJW was based in 1866 and was initially generally known as the San Jose Water Firm. With a market cap of $1.9 billion, SJW is likely one of the smallest Dividend Kings.

SJW is a water utility firm that purchases, shops, purifies, and distributes water to shoppers and companies.

Supply: Investor Presentation

Following the finished merger with Connecticut Water Service (CTWS), SJW presently consists of 5 subsidiaries:

San Jose Water
Connecticut Water
Maine Water
SJWTX
SJW Land Firm

San Jose Water Firm, a regulated utility, has almost 230,000 connections and supplies water to roughly a million well-educated and prosperous clients within the Silicon Valley space. The acquisition of CTWS added 138,000 connections and 450,000 clients in Connecticut and Maine.

SJWTX is a regulated water utility firm that has 25,000 connections within the space between San Antonio and Austin, Texas. Water utilities provide nearly all revenues for SJW, however there’s a actual property portion of the corporate as nicely. SJW Land owns and develops properties for each residential and warehouse clients in California and Tennessee. SJW makes use of the rental earnings from these properties to reinvest in its water utility enterprise.

Development Prospects

On July thirty first, 2023, SJW Group reported Q2 outcomes, posting a 5.3% income development to $156.9 million, barely under estimates. Earnings-per-share at $0.58, although decrease than the prior yr’s $0.69, exceeded expectations by $0.02.

Elements included water price will increase and new clients contributing $14.7 million and $0.9 million, respectively, whereas decreased buyer utilization decreased income by $9.0 million. Water manufacturing bills additionally rose by $2.2 million to $61.9 million, considerably impacting profitability.

Supply: Investor Presentation

Previous to the merger, California contributed 92% of SJW’s earnings. In the latest quarter, nonetheless, this determine was all the way down to 53%. Connecticut is the second-largest supply of earnings at 33%, with the remaining states of Texas, Tennessee, and Maine making up the remaining.

SJW nonetheless depends on simply two states for the overwhelming majority of its earnings however is barely much less top-heavy than earlier than the merger. The mixture of SJW and CTWS has made the mixed firm the third-largest investor-owned water utility firm when it comes to each enterprise worth and price base. The mixed entity has almost 403,000 service connections and supplies providers to 1.5 million folks.

SJW compounded earnings-per-share at a price of 6.2% during the last decade. CTWS was no slouch both when it got here to earnings development, as the corporate has compounded earnings-per-share by 6.7% yearly within the decade main as much as the merger.

We anticipate that the mixed firm will be capable to generate earnings development of 8.0% yearly by 2028.

Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency

As a regulated utility, SJW is proscribed in how a lot it could actually elevate charges for purchasers. Fortuitously for the corporate, they function in areas, i.e., Silicon Valley and Central Texas, which have seen excessive inhabitants development charges. As these populations develop, they want dependable entry to water. To encourage SJW to spend on bettering the water infrastructure in these areas, native governments enable the corporate to boost charges at pretty excessive ranges.

For instance, San Jose Water acquired approval for a price improve of 9.8%, 3.7%, and 5.2% for 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively. Giant price will increase ought to circulation proper to the corporate’s backside line.

One other benefit for SJW was tax reform laws that went into impact in 2018. Tax reform really lowered SJW’s tax price from 37% in 2017 to twenty% in 2018. The affect of tax reform will proceed going ahead. Within the first half of 2023, the corporate really posted a damaging efficient tax price of 9% because of the partial launch of unsure tax place reserve. Nevertheless, even within the prior interval, when no such one-off circumstance befell,  the corporate paid a 17% consolidated earnings tax price.

Between a decrease tax price and the extra earnings from the merger with CTWS, SJW has a possibility to supply sturdy dividend development going ahead. SJW has paid an uninterrupted dividend for the previous 79 years. The corporate has elevated its dividend for the previous 55 years. The typical elevate within the decade earlier than the merger was 4.8%.

In recent times, the corporate rewarded shareholders with a 7.1% improve in 2019, a 6.7% elevate in 2020, a 6.3% improve in 2021, a 5.9% elevate in 2022, and a 5.6% elevate in 2023. Shares of SJW yield 2.5% in the intervening time.

Supply: Investor Presentation

Whereas future development seems to be engaging because of the firm’s merger with CTWS, it’s also necessary to look at how an organization carried out throughout powerful financial instances. SJW’s earnings-per-share throughout the Nice Recession are under:

2007 earnings-per-share: $1.04 (12.6% decline)
2008 earnings-per-share: $1.08 (4% improve)
2009 earnings-per-share: $0.81 (25% decline)
2010 earnings-per-share: $0.84 (4% improve)

SJW was not proof against the final recession as earnings-per-share declined 22% from 2007 by 2009. Whereas earnings development did return the subsequent yr, it took the corporate till 2014 to prime its pre-recession excessive.

Water stays a vital useful resource for shoppers even throughout a recession, however SJW’s efficiency throughout and after the final monetary disaster exhibits that development could be elusive. That mentioned, the corporate’s extra diversified enterprise mannequin right this moment makes it seemingly that the subsequent recession received’t be as extreme for SJW.

Valuation & Anticipated Returns

SJW reaffirmed its steering for 2023 and expects earnings-per-share of $2.40 to $2.50 for 2023. Utilizing the present share value of $61.14 and the midpoint of anticipated EPS for the yr, the inventory has a price-earnings ratio of 25.0.

This compares favorably to our goal price-to-earnings ratio of 26, which is a premium to the inventory’s pre-merger 10-year common a number of. Converging to our goal valuation by 2028 would increase annual outcomes by 0.9% over this time period.

Going ahead, buyers can anticipate complete returns to be the next:

8.0% earnings per share development
0.9% a number of growth
2.5% dividend yield

In complete, we anticipate shares of SJW to supply an annual return above 11% over the subsequent 5 years.

Ultimate Ideas

SJW’s merger with CTWS has helped to diversify the corporate’s enterprise mannequin, making the mixed entity much less reliant on simply California for earnings. SJW continues to be top-heavy, with simply two states contributing over 85% of earnings, however that is an enchancment over every particular person firm previous to the merger.

SJW additionally has a really lengthy historical past of dividend development and is one among simply 50 corporations with not less than 5 a long time of dividend development. That is a formidable accomplishment.

With a formidable monitor document of dividend development and SJW’s projected to realize double-digit returns over the medium time period, we assign the inventory a purchase ranking.

The next articles comprise shares with very lengthy dividend or company histories, ripe for choice for dividend development buyers: